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Weekly Commentary

January 24th, 2012

Ch – Ch – Ch – Changes…Time to Focus on the Fed’s Forecasts

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, along with Federal
Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke's press conference and a new economic
and interest rate forecast from the Fed, is likely to compete for the market's
attention with the return of Congress, the debate over the payroll tax cut
extension, and another full slate of fourth quarter earnings reports this week.
Economic data will also vie for attention read more here...


January 18th, 2012

Not So Cloudy

In last week’s commentary, we discussed whether or not economic
momentum exists at all, and if so, did the economy have any forward
momentum as 2011 ended and 2012 began. The Federal Reserve’s Beige
Book, a qualitative assessment of banking and business conditions in each of
the Fed's 12 regional districts, was released last week, and helped to confirm
that the U.S. economy did pick up steam read more here...


January 10th, 2012

Does Economic Momentum Exist?

In June 2011, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke noted that the
economic recovery had been “uneven across sectors and frustratingly slow.”
In November 2011, Bernanke said that there “have been some elements
of bad luck” impacting the economy. Even before November read more here...